0x94eA723261AB53372988541Fe02Ffc26B2F7A322-1771597068027

0x94ea72...f7a322

Smart Score

Win Rate

16.7%

Total P&L

+$31

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

2.38

Sortino Ratio

101.61

Max Drawdown

123.9%

ROI

27.6%

Profit Factor

2.99

Kelly Fraction

0.111

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

035.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	BUY	1.4¢	71.429	Mar 5
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	13.2¢	7.576	Mar 5
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	3.2¢	31.25	Mar 5
Will Viktor Hovland win the 2026 Masters tournament?	BUY	2.2¢	45.455	Mar 5
Will Renate Reinsve win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?	BUY	0.7¢	725.386	Mar 5
Will Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?	BUY	1.8¢	111.668	Mar 1
Will Train Dreams win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	BUY	0.4¢	250	Mar 1
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $295 on March 2?	BUY	7.8¢	12.787	Feb 28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 1?	BUY	0.8¢	119.391	Feb 28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 1?	BUY	1.1¢	90.909	Feb 28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 1?	BUY	0.1¢	1,000	Feb 28
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	2.8¢	35.714	Feb 28
Iran strike on US military by February 28?	BUY	3.9¢	51.603	Feb 28
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?	BUY	1.3¢	155.286	Feb 28
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	BUY	9.0¢	33.333	Feb 25
Will I Lied to You - Sinners win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?	BUY	11.0¢	45.455	Feb 25
Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?	BUY	68.0¢	14.706	Feb 25
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	BUY	71.0¢	33.803	Feb 25
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	BUY	55.0¢	90.909	Feb 25

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing35.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.95

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)32.2%

Win Consistency50.0%

Profit Factor0.92

Drawdown Resilience0.74

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.74

Weekly Sharpe est.0.57

Trading Activity19 trades · 4 active days

P&L Calendar

$1130d profit4d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue