0x970840...aec42a

0x970840...aec42a
Smart Score
52
Win Rate
88.1%
Total P&L
+$371
Trade Count
385
Sharpe Ratio
1.27
Sortino Ratio
23.49
Max Drawdown
137.8%
ROI
18.3%
Profit Factor
4.77
Kelly Fraction
0.697
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
052/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on March 5?BUY96.0¢5.208Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 4°C on March 6?BUY86.0¢5.814Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on March 5?BUY94.0¢5.319Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 3°C on March 6?BUY96.9¢5.16Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C or higher on March 5?BUY58.6¢8.532Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on March 5?BUY98.9¢5.056Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on March 5?BUY98.9¢5.056Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 5?SELL17.0¢6.49Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on March 5?BUY98.5¢5.076Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on March 6?BUY98.0¢5.102Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 1°C on March 6?BUY98.5¢5.076Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on March 6?BUY96.4¢5.187Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 4°C on March 5?BUY87.0¢5.747Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 4°C on March 5?BUY88.8¢5.63Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 6?BUY84.0¢5.952Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on March 6?BUY93.6¢5.342Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on March 6?BUY97.4¢5.133Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on March 5?BUY70.0¢7.143Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on March 5?BUY98.9¢5.056Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on March 5?BUY98.9¢5.056Mar 4
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%5%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%7%50–70%5%70–80%20%80–90%60%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing52

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.86
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)47.3%
Win Consistency48.9%
Profit Factor1.35
Drawdown Resilience1.09
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.09
Weekly Sharpe est.0.83
Trading Activity385 trades · 8 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1,1700d profit8d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

Unlock Full Analytics