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0x97E259C0e8F825c51097A30113323c55cC418C5C-1772083597776

0x97e259...418c5c
Smart Score
31
Win Rate
18.2%
Total P&L
+$6
Trade Count
49
Sharpe Ratio
2.85
Sortino Ratio
12.18
Max Drawdown
117.3%
ROI
3.7%
Profit Factor
1.35
Kelly Fraction
0.047
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
031.2/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?BUY18.1¢27.624Mar 5
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?BUY1.3¢76.923Mar 5
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.4¢250Mar 5
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.4¢250Mar 5
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.7¢142.857Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY12.5¢79.921Mar 5
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?SELL22.0¢4.54Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL0.8¢107.45Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL0.1¢333.33Mar 3
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by March 31?BUY11.8¢84.746Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY2.1¢46.818Mar 1
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY0.9¢107.458Mar 1
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY0.3¢333.333Mar 1
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY22.0¢4.545Mar 1
Will Opinion launch a token by September 30, 2026?BUY0.4¢250Mar 1
Will Opinion launch a token by June 30, 2026?BUY0.6¢166.667Mar 1
Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?BUY1.7¢60.008Mar 1
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?BUY21.0¢23.81Mar 1
Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?BUY14.0¢7.143Mar 1
Will Bitcoin be the top performing crypto for the week of March 2?BUY30.0¢3.333Mar 1

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%45%< 10%18%10–20%18%20–30%8%30–50%8%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing31.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.72
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)28.4%
Win Consistency42.9%
Profit Factor0.81
Drawdown Resilience0.66
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.66
Weekly Sharpe est.0.50
Trading Activity49 trades · 5 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$462d profit3d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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