Accrue
Log inGet Access

0x98018Fa04Aed82d26F03f9720450f7411F053B54-1770958111481

0x98018f...053b54
Smart Score
3
Win Rate
71.4%
Total P&L
-$5
Trade Count
152
Sharpe Ratio
-0.71
Sortino Ratio
-0.85
Max Drawdown
9719.6%
ROI
-0.5%
Profit Factor
0.69
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
03.2/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY63.0¢15.873Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL62.0¢11.29Mar 5
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY97.8¢5.112Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL51.0¢11.76Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY62.0¢11.29Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL84.0¢9.63Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY51.0¢11.765Mar 4
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL97.8¢5.1Mar 4
Spread: CA Lanús (-2.5)BUY96.6¢10.352Mar 4
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY97.9¢5.107Mar 4
Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)BUY97.0¢5.155Mar 4
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-2.5)BUY95.0¢10.526Mar 4
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL97.5¢5.12Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?SELL71.0¢12.98Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY77.0¢12.987Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL96.6¢9.3Mar 4
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY97.6¢5.123Mar 4
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL58.2¢12Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY96.7¢9.307Mar 4
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY58.3¢12.007Mar 3

Analytics

Unlock full analytics on Accrue
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%14%50–70%70–80%5%80–90%78%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing3.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.18
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)2.9%
Win Consistency38.9%
Profit Factor0.08
Drawdown Resilience0.07
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.07
Weekly Sharpe est.0.05
Trading Activity152 trades · 19 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$3190d profit19d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

Unlock Full Analytics