0x98ff6f...afad97

Smart Score

Win Rate

75.0%

Total P&L

+$70

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

4.88

Sortino Ratio

12.92

Max Drawdown

18.1%

ROI

14.4%

Profit Factor

2.97

Kelly Fraction

0.498

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

084.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	BUY	85.0¢	9.071	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?	BUY	38.0¢	73.421	Mar 4
Trump out as President by March 31?	SELL	97.6¢	28.74	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?	BUY	36.0¢	7.722	Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	18.9¢	14.73	Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	18.6¢	14.731	Mar 3
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	3.1¢	72.73	Mar 3
Trump out as President by March 31?	BUY	97.4¢	28.747	Mar 3
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?	BUY	77.0¢	36.364	Mar 3
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	22.0¢	72.727	Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	8.1¢	209.09	Mar 3
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?	BUY	39.0¢	48.718	Mar 1
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	33.5¢	55.21	Mar 1
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	48.9¢	55.215	Mar 1
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?	BUY	78.7¢	120.723	Feb 28
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?	BUY	64.6¢	148.554	Feb 28
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	14.3¢	209.095	Feb 28
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?	BUY	74.0¢	27.027	Feb 24
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?	BUY	97.4¢	19.507	Feb 22

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Pro84.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)4.67

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)77.3%

Win Consistency84.6%

Profit Factor2.21

Drawdown Resilience1.78

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.78

Weekly Sharpe est.1.36

Trading Activity19 trades · 7 active days

P&L Calendar

$3511d profit6d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue