0x9A943c78Adea66E1BFb48c8f789f05796812b335-1765973095007

0x9a943c...12b335

Smart Score

Win Rate

50.0%

Total P&L

+$1.2K

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

1.15

Sortino Ratio

3.13

Max Drawdown

41.5%

ROI

51.6%

Profit Factor

7.45

Kelly Fraction

0.433

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

064/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-03-12?	SELL	67.0¢	40	Mar 5
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-03-12?	BUY	42.0¢	8.1	Mar 5
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-03-12?	BUY	42.0¢	69.18	Mar 5
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-03-12?	BUY	33.0¢	100	Mar 5
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-03-12?	SELL	51.0¢	10	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?	SELL	12.0¢	100	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?	BUY	47.0¢	100	Mar 3
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3?	BUY	19.5¢	513.052	Mar 3
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3?	SELL	80.6¢	100	Mar 3
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3?	BUY	95.0¢	100	Mar 3
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BUY	0.8¢	1,600	Mar 2
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	BUY	97.9¢	318.141	Feb 28
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	BUY	48.0¢	114.583	Feb 25
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	SELL	11.0¢	500	Feb 25
US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?	BUY	33.0¢	346.879	Feb 22
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?	SELL	2.6¢	100	Feb 21
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?	BUY	8.0¢	100	Feb 20
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	BUY	26.0¢	500	Feb 20
Pacers vs. Celtics	SELL	81.0¢	20	Dec 22
Pacers vs. Celtics	BUY	19.0¢	20	Dec 22

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Active64

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.52

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)58.2%

Win Consistency52.8%

Profit Factor1.66

Drawdown Resilience1.34

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.34

Weekly Sharpe est.1.02

Trading Activity90 trades · 18 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,2902d profit14d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue