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0x9E59F4f36A1F590b3FcD2e298DE6257A3F04A17C-1758112480439

0x9e59f4...04a17c
Smart Score
34
Win Rate
80.1%
Total P&L
+$52.9K
Trade Count
961
Sharpe Ratio
-0.05
Sortino Ratio
-0.08
Max Drawdown
1096.0%
ROI
21.2%
Profit Factor
4.80
Kelly Fraction
0.634
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
033.7/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?BUY99.7¢5.817Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?SELL0.3¢1,584.15Feb 28
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY83.0¢260Feb 28
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?SELL71.0¢3.74Jan 10
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?SELL71.0¢28.169Jan 10
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?SELL71.0¢166Jan 10
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?SELL71.0¢7.5Jan 10
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?SELL71.0¢5.182Jan 10
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?BUY84.0¢690.72Jan 8
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?BUY84.0¢109.28Jan 8
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY91.0¢536.2Jan 8
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?BUY89.0¢454.54Jan 6
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?BUY89.0¢45.455Jan 6
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY91.0¢15Jan 5
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY91.0¢220.58Jan 4
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY91.0¢11.111Jan 4
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY91.0¢8Jan 4
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY91.0¢11.11Jan 4
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY91.0¢1,111.111Jan 4
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY91.0¢86.861Jan 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%3%10–20%6%20–30%10%30–50%13%50–70%13%70–80%24%80–90%31%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing33.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.85
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)30.7%
Win Consistency54.6%
Profit Factor0.88
Drawdown Resilience0.71
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.71
Weekly Sharpe est.0.54
Trading Activity961 trades · 65 active days
AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$105,2187d profit57d loss
AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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