0xA5dFa1bfA8a4b5d76AAC597df7a59ca2DCff5Ad8-1765545648751

0xa5dfa1...ff5ad8

Smart Score

Win Rate

100.0%

Total P&L

+$2

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-1.24

Sortino Ratio

-1.06

Max Drawdown

140350.0%

ROI

0.2%

Profit Factor

10.00

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

018.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C or below on March 5?	BUY	99.9¢	21.812	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on March 3?	BUY	99.8¢	10.832	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on March 2?	BUY	99.9¢	10.811	Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	99.8¢	10.802	Mar 2
Zhang Youxia seen in public by February 28?	BUY	99.9¢	10.78	Feb 27
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	10.77	Feb 27
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on February 26?	BUY	99.9¢	10.761	Feb 26
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on February 26?	BUY	99.9¢	10.75	Feb 26
Will Jensen Huang attend the 2026 State of the Union address?	BUY	99.9¢	10.741	Feb 24
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 47°F or below on February 22?	BUY	99.7¢	10.732	Feb 21
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on February 21?	BUY	99.9¢	10.7	Feb 21
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 21?	BUY	99.7¢	10.682	Feb 21
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on February 20?	BUY	99.9¢	10.651	Feb 20
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C or higher on February 20?	BUY	99.9¢	10.64	Feb 20
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on February 20?	BUY	99.7¢	10.632	Feb 20
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on February 19?	BUY	99.9¢	10.6	Feb 19
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 52-53°F on February 19?	BUY	99.4¢	10.594	Feb 19
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on February 18?	BUY	99.9¢	10.53	Feb 18
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 5°C on February 19?	BUY	99.9¢	10.51	Feb 18
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 5°C on February 18?	BUY	99.9¢	10.5	Feb 18

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing18.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.00

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)16.5%

Win Consistency31.1%

Profit Factor0.47

Drawdown Resilience0.38

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.38

Weekly Sharpe est.0.29

Trading Activity74 trades · 46 active days

P&L Calendar

$7780d profit46d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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