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0xafbcfb...eb18c6

0xafbcfb...eb18c6
Smart Score
47
Win Rate
61.5%
Total P&L
-$1.5K
Trade Count
4,000
Sharpe Ratio
0.67
Sortino Ratio
54.09
Max Drawdown
4787.2%
ROI
-8.2%
Profit Factor
4.35
Kelly Fraction
0.473
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
047.2/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?BUY5.0¢5Mar 5
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?BUY61.0¢5Mar 5
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?BUY5.5¢5Mar 5
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?BUY4.1¢5Mar 5
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?BUY6.0¢5Mar 5
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?BUY13.5¢5Mar 5
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?BUY4.7¢5Mar 5
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?BUY4.1¢13.42Mar 5
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?BUY6.0¢13.42Mar 5
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?BUY13.5¢13.42Mar 5
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?BUY59.0¢13.42Mar 5
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?BUY4.7¢13.42Mar 5
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?BUY5.5¢13.42Mar 5
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?BUY5.0¢13.42Mar 5
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?BUY4.0¢2.4Mar 5
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?BUY4.7¢2.4Mar 5
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?BUY5.0¢2.4Mar 5
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?BUY6.0¢2.4Mar 5
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?BUY5.5¢2.4Mar 5
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?BUY59.0¢2.4Mar 5

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%47%< 10%6%10–20%20–30%3%30–50%50–70%70–80%7%80–90%30%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing47.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.60
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)43.0%
Win Consistency42.3%
Profit Factor1.23
Drawdown Resilience0.99
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.99
Weekly Sharpe est.0.76

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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