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0xb445b8efa7F0aa9b35ba272F328614D8826F71Df-1767841304511

0xb445b8...6f71df
Smart Score
22
Win Rate
78.0%
Total P&L
+$1.2K
Trade Count
65
Sharpe Ratio
-14.35
Sortino Ratio
-17.22
Max Drawdown
3707.8%
ROI
32.9%
Profit Factor
5.55
Kelly Fraction
0.640
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
021.9/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL98.0¢0.4Mar 5
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY98.1¢1,305Mar 5
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY2.0¢2,707Mar 5
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY97.9¢1,402.4Mar 5
Ethereum Up or Down - March 3, 11:30PM-11:45PM ETBUY70.0¢20.81Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETBUY85.0¢30.81Feb 27
Ethereum Up or Down - February 23, 3PM ETBUY71.0¢12.31Feb 23
Ethereum Up or Down - February 23, 3:45PM-4:00PM ETBUY78.0¢9.136Feb 23
Ethereum Up or Down - February 23, 3:45PM-4:00PM ETBUY78.0¢15.88Feb 23
Ethereum Up or Down - February 23, 3PM ETBUY71.0¢7.793Feb 23
Ethereum Up or Down - February 23, 3PM ETBUY71.0¢4.828Feb 23
Solana Up or Down - February 23, 3PM ETBUY84.3¢30Feb 23
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 3PM ETBUY74.0¢2.38Feb 23
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 3PM ETBUY74.0¢13.91Feb 23
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 3:45PM-4:00PM ETBUY81.0¢17.32Feb 23
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 3:45PM-4:00PM ETBUY81.0¢12.105Feb 23
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 3:45PM-4:00PM ETBUY81.0¢5.19Feb 23
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 3PM ETBUY74.0¢12.692Feb 23
Solana Up or Down - February 20, 4:00AM-8:00AM ETBUY76.0¢25.44Feb 20
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 7:00PM-7:15PM ETBUY78.0¢20.39Feb 17

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%8%50–70%36%70–80%50%80–90%5%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing21.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.20
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)19.9%
Win Consistency2.4%
Profit Factor0.57
Drawdown Resilience0.46
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.46
Weekly Sharpe est.0.35
Trading Activity65 trades · 17 active days
AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$3,7860d profit17d loss
AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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