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0xb55c6dc1dafc7c30f48d617252ee75bcc5c540a3

0xd45958...b613f9
Smart Score
19
Win Rate
52.4%
Total P&L
+$14.5K
Trade Count
134
Sharpe Ratio
-1.04
Sortino Ratio
-1.63
Max Drawdown
194.0%
ROI
4.4%
Profit Factor
2.77
Kelly Fraction
0.335
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
019.2/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?BUY62.0¢241.935Mar 4
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?SELL0.5¢1,999.99Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY10.7¢1,000Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY10.3¢235.85Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY10.3¢519.22Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY10.3¢58.81Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY10.3¢1.115Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY10.3¢185Feb 28
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?BUY18.0¢2,000Feb 10
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY29.0¢1,000Feb 3
Will the US next strike Iran on February 6, 2026 (ET)?BUY2.9¢126.38Feb 3
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?SELL0.1¢100,000Feb 3
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?BUY98.3¢22,901.96Jan 30
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?BUY98.3¢27,098.04Jan 30
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?BUY1.2¢30Jan 29
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?BUY1.2¢45,078.78Jan 29
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?BUY1.2¢100Jan 29
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?BUY1.2¢10Jan 29
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?BUY1.2¢10Jan 29
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?BUY1.2¢5Jan 29

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%21%< 10%7%10–20%3%20–30%5%30–50%13%50–70%9%70–80%34%80–90%7%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing19.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.06
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)17.5%
Win Consistency38.1%
Profit Factor0.50
Drawdown Resilience0.40
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.40
Weekly Sharpe est.0.31
Trading Activity134 trades · 33 active days
AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$154,92510d profit23d loss
AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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