0xb5e4c6...31d007

Smart Score

Win Rate

64.5%

Total P&L

+$712

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.22

Sortino Ratio

-0.27

Max Drawdown

771.5%

ROI

15.0%

Profit Factor

1.47

Kelly Fraction

0.207

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

012.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Lazio beat Juventus?	SELL	61.0¢	5	May 9
Will Lazio beat Juventus?	BUY	61.0¢	5	May 9
Pakistan air/missile strike on Indian soil by Friday?	BUY	67.0¢	795	May 9
Ethereum Up or Down on May 10?	BUY	52.0¢	1,000	May 9
ETH/BTC Up or Down on May 9?	BUY	52.0¢	50	May 8
ETH/BTC Up or Down on May 9?	BUY	52.0¢	5	May 8
ETH/BTC Up or Down on May 9?	BUY	52.0¢	5	May 8
Will Joe Biden say "Inflation" during his May 8 interview?	SELL	41.0¢	75	May 7
Will Jerome Powell say "Overreact" during the May meeting?	BUY	66.0¢	45	May 7
Will Jerome Powell say "Overreact" during the May meeting?	BUY	66.0¢	5	May 7
Will Jerome Powell say "Overreact" during the May meeting?	BUY	66.0¢	5	May 7
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 8?	BUY	50.0¢	935	May 7
Will Joe Biden say "Social Security" during his May 8 interview?	BUY	63.0¢	1,000	May 7
Will Joe Biden say "Inflation" during his May 8 interview?	BUY	41.0¢	75	May 7
Will Trump say "Farmer" during Carney visit on May 6?	BUY	48.0¢	165	May 5
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during Carney visit on May 6?	BUY	43.0¢	150	May 5
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during Carney visit on May 6?	BUY	43.0¢	850	May 5
Will Michael Saylor say "Tariff" 3+ times during the Q1 2025 Strategy earnings call?	BUY	61.0¢	40	Apr 30
Will Michael Saylor say "Tariff" 3+ times during the Q1 2025 Strategy earnings call?	BUY	61.0¢	5	Apr 30
Will Michael Saylor say "Tariff" 3+ times during the Q1 2025 Strategy earnings call?	BUY	61.0¢	135	Apr 30

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing12.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.67

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)11.1%

Win Consistency35.5%

Profit Factor0.32

Drawdown Resilience0.26

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.26

Weekly Sharpe est.0.20

Trading Activity35 trades · 12 active days

P&L Calendar

$4,0880d profit12d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue