0xB973D1191B27b28048217e35E15b7802042ecFe4-1770955326687

0xb973d1...2ecfe4

Smart Score

Win Rate

74.3%

Total P&L

-$12

Trade Count

171

Sharpe Ratio

-0.37

Sortino Ratio

-0.47

Max Drawdown

1176.4%

ROI

-1.0%

Profit Factor

0.50

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

05.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	96.1¢	9.365	Mar 5
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	SELL	93.2¢	8.57	Mar 5
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	97.5¢	5.12	Mar 5
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	98.0¢	7.18	Mar 5
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	BUY	93.3¢	8.575	Mar 4
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	97.6¢	5.123	Mar 4
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	97.7¢	7.15	Mar 4
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	97.9¢	7.15	Mar 4
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	SELL	93.6¢	6.45	Mar 4
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	97.4¢	7.187	Mar 4
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	BUY	93.0¢	6.452	Mar 4
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	97.7¢	6.12	Mar 4
Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)	BUY	97.0¢	9.278	Mar 4
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-2.5)	BUY	95.0¢	9.474	Mar 4
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	97.9¢	6.129	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	SELL	60.0¢	8.47	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	BUY	59.0¢	8.475	Mar 3
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	78.0¢	7.71	Mar 3
CA Tucumán vs. Racing Club: O/U 4.5	BUY	95.0¢	7.368	Mar 3
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	77.8¢	7.712	Mar 3

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing5.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.29

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)4.8%

Win Consistency41.9%

Profit Factor0.14

Drawdown Resilience0.11

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.11

Weekly Sharpe est.0.08

Trading Activity171 trades · 19 active days

P&L Calendar

$3222d profit17d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue