0xbB4F6B625157D369e4D6fF63640a668DCecf2742-1762336939771

0x2e756f...ba8a5c

Smart Score

Win Rate

63.6%

Total P&L

+$12

Trade Count

777

Sharpe Ratio

-0.44

Sortino Ratio

-0.37

Max Drawdown

966.1%

ROI

0.0%

Profit Factor

1.06

Kelly Fraction

0.035

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

05.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	99.1¢	19.172	Mar 5
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL	93.8¢	12.77	Jan 24
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	93.9¢	12.78	Jan 24
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	99.2¢	17.12	Oct 9
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	99.3¢	17.12	Oct 9
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	99.3¢	13.09	Sep 17
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	99.3¢	13.092	Sep 17
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	99.5¢	15.06	Jul 31
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	99.6¢	15.06	Jul 31
Aston Villa wins the Premier League?	SELL	99.3¢	46.05	Jan 1
Aston Villa wins the Premier League?	BUY	99.5¢	46.05	Jan 1
Southampton wins the Premier League?	SELL	99.5¢	46.03	Dec 31
Southampton wins the Premier League?	BUY	99.7¢	46.038	Dec 31
Crystal Palace wins the Premier League?	SELL	99.5¢	46.12	Dec 31
Crystal Palace wins the Premier League?	BUY	99.6¢	46.124	Dec 31
West Ham United wins the Premier League?	SELL	99.5¢	46.16	Dec 31
West Ham United wins the Premier League?	BUY	99.6¢	46.155	Dec 31
Aston Villa wins the Premier League?	SELL	99.3¢	46.28	Dec 31
Aston Villa wins the Premier League?	BUY	99.5¢	46.281	Dec 31
Fulham wins the Premier League?	SELL	99.5¢	46.27	Dec 31

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing5.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.30

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)5.0%

Win Consistency34.4%

Profit Factor0.14

Drawdown Resilience0.12

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.12

Weekly Sharpe est.0.09

Trading Activity9 trades · 5 active days

P&L Calendar

$190d profit4d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue