0xBCfD0deECAD53F22448DE45949dC1e41BfC78F60-1771949504183

0xbcfd0d...c78f60
Smart Score
29
Win Rate
91.7%
Total P&L
+$0
Trade Count
26
Sharpe Ratio
-2.42
Sortino Ratio
-1.67
Max Drawdown
4538.9%
ROI
0.3%
Profit Factor
95.09
Kelly Fraction
0.907
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
028.8/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY99.9¢1.15Mar 5
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on March 6?BUY99.8¢1.25Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY99.8¢1.4Mar 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 2?BUY99.6¢1.41Mar 2
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 3?BUY99.5¢1.46Mar 2
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on March 3?BUY99.2¢1.48Mar 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on March 3?BUY99.7¢1.2Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY99.9¢1.4Mar 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 2?BUY99.7¢1.38Mar 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 3?BUY99.2¢1.22Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?BUY99.5¢1.4Mar 2
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?BUY99.9¢1.16Feb 27
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?BUY99.9¢1.43Feb 27
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 February 23-March 1?BUY99.8¢1.39Feb 27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 1?BUY99.6¢1.34Feb 27
Will XRP reach $1.80 in February?BUY99.8¢1.25Feb 27
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?BUY99.8¢1.47Feb 27
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of February?BUY99.9¢1.36Feb 27
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of February?BUY99.9¢1.26Feb 27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 28?BUY99.9¢1.25Feb 27
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%100%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing28.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.58
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)26.2%
Win Consistency50.0%
Profit Factor0.75
Drawdown Resilience0.60
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.60
Weekly Sharpe est.0.46
Trading Activity26 trades · 4 active days
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P&L Calendar
$360d profit4d loss
AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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