0xbd7c86...ec42d7

Smart Score

Win Rate

68.0%

Total P&L

+$405

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.15

Sortino Ratio

-0.14

Max Drawdown

148.9%

ROI

10.2%

Profit Factor

1.34

Kelly Fraction

0.174

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

013.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Solana Up or Down on June 1?	BUY	50.0¢	95	May 31
Solana Up or Down on June 1?	BUY	50.0¢	690	May 31
Solana Up or Down on June 1?	BUY	50.0¢	60	May 31
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2400 and $2500 on May 31 at 5 PM ET?	BUY	27.0¢	620	May 31
Giles vs. Gustafsson	BUY	49.0¢	1,000	May 31
Will Ross Ulbricht say "FBI" during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 29?	BUY	26.0¢	5	May 29
Will Ross Ulbricht say "Pardon / Pardoned" during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 29?	BUY	81.0¢	65	May 29
Will Ross Ulbricht say "Satoshi" during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 29?	BUY	52.8¢	1,000	May 29
Will Ross Ulbricht cry during the Bitcoin 2025 address?	BUY	81.0¢	15	May 29
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $109K on May 28 at 5 PM ET?	BUY	52.0¢	5	May 28
XRP Up or Down on May 28?	SELL	50.0¢	5	May 27
XRP Up or Down on May 28?	BUY	50.0¢	5	May 27
Will JD Vance say "Gold" during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 28?	BUY	63.0¢	595	May 27
Will JD Vance say "Biden" during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 28?	SELL	47.0¢	5	May 26
Will JD Vance say "Biden" during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 28?	BUY	48.0¢	5	May 26
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2500 and $2600 on May 26 at 5 PM ET?	BUY	71.0¢	50	May 26
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2500 and $2600 on May 26 at 5 PM ET?	BUY	71.0¢	325	May 26
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin May 20-26?	BUY	59.0¢	985	May 26
Will Trump say "God" 3+ times during West Point Commencement on May 24?	BUY	16.0¢	165	May 24
Will Andrey Rublev win the 2025 Bitpanda Hamburg Open?	SELL	40.0¢	50	May 23

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing13.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.73

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)12.0%

Win Consistency48.0%

Profit Factor0.34

Drawdown Resilience0.28

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.28

Weekly Sharpe est.0.21

Trading Activity33 trades · 13 active days

P&L Calendar

$3,8210d profit12d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue