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0xC2d366ee1899FA4b5351B646B2880Ae2c6AE283e-1771720599542

0xc2d366...ae283e
Smart Score
2
Win Rate
53.8%
Total P&L
-$5
Trade Count
100
Sharpe Ratio
-0.53
Sortino Ratio
-0.79
Max Drawdown
2934.7%
ROI
-0.0%
Profit Factor
0.50
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
01.7/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL82.7¢6.03Mar 5
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY82.8¢6.039Mar 5
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL94.5¢7.39Mar 5
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY94.7¢7.392Mar 5
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?SELL82.0¢9.52Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7PM ETSELL77.0¢9.18Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7PM ETBUY98.0¢9.184Mar 4
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?BUY84.0¢9.524Mar 4
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?SELL97.0¢7.23Mar 4
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?BUY96.8¢7.231Mar 4
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL92.7¢8.62Mar 4
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY92.8¢8.621Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1PM ETBUY99.8¢8.016Mar 4
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL91.6¢6.54Mar 4
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY91.7¢6.543Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 1PM ETBUY99.0¢10.101Mar 3
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL96.9¢6.18Mar 3
Xi Jinping out before 2027?SELL91.1¢5.48Mar 3
Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY91.2¢5.482Mar 3
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?SELL96.5¢9.29Mar 2

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%4%20–30%30–50%13%50–70%6%70–80%8%80–90%70%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing1.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.09
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)1.6%
Win Consistency45.0%
Profit Factor0.04
Drawdown Resilience0.04
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.04
Weekly Sharpe est.0.03
Trading Activity100 trades · 11 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1184d profit7d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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