0xc2D8577728A2E3D834b80a9B1AC3ce060393FAC4-1768472620919

0xc2d857...93fac4

Smart Score

Win Rate

76.8%

Total P&L

-$128

Trade Count

283

Sharpe Ratio

-0.52

Sortino Ratio

-1.48

Max Drawdown

61110.7%

ROI

-0.9%

Profit Factor

0.92

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

06.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	BUY	78.4¢	116.245	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 5?	BUY	16.9¢	5.917	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 5?	BUY	46.7¢	21.436	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 5?	BUY	47.5¢	12.972	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	SELL	37.0¢	16.66	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	BUY	88.6¢	795.725	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	BUY	97.0¢	705.031	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	BUY	90.3¢	332.371	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	BUY	89.1¢	336.633	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	BUY	82.5¢	952.994	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	BUY	99.0¢	786.293	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	BUY	57.3¢	523.781	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	BUY	93.0¢	322.581	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	BUY	99.0¢	303.03	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	BUY	89.6¢	223.335	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	BUY	95.3¢	209.808	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	BUY	63.3¢	315.781	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	BUY	99.0¢	202.02	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	BUY	89.5¢	223.345	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	BUY	98.0¢	204.082	Mar 4

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing6.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.35

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)5.8%

Win Consistency38.2%

Profit Factor0.17

Drawdown Resilience0.13

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.13

Weekly Sharpe est.0.10

Trading Activity283 trades · 32 active days

P&L Calendar

$11,0674d profit28d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue