0xce8725...870095

0xce8725...870095
Smart Score
28
Win Rate
98.3%
Total P&L
+$390
Trade Count
630
Sharpe Ratio
-6.08
Sortino Ratio
-5.20
Max Drawdown
2495727.7%
ROI
0.3%
Profit Factor
34.61
Kelly Fraction
0.955
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
027.9/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?SELL99.9¢102.56Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 4?BUY99.9¢503.684Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 5?BUY99.0¢200.72Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?SELL99.6¢704.7Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 4?BUY99.9¢1,216.256Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 5?BUY98.8¢182Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on March 5?BUY99.0¢39.11Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?SELL99.6¢76Mar 4
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-2.5)BUY99.9¢520.65Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 71°F or below on March 5?BUY99.6¢10Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 36°C on March 4?BUY99.9¢261.18Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 71°F or below on March 5?BUY99.6¢11Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 71°F or below on March 5?BUY99.6¢8Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -3°C or below on March 5?BUY99.5¢1,826Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?SELL99.6¢2,565.01Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?SELL99.6¢4.28Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -3°C or below on March 5?BUY99.6¢383Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C or below on March 5?BUY99.9¢2,000Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 5°C or below on March 5?BUY99.5¢7Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -3°C or below on March 5?BUY99.6¢17Mar 4
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%100%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing27.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.53
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)25.4%
Win Consistency30.9%
Profit Factor0.73
Drawdown Resilience0.59
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.59
Weekly Sharpe est.0.45
Trading Activity630 trades · 6 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$125,4111d profit5d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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