0xD71d6374ebE5a6225C7E5d8324454d71f393A815-1771226297409

0xd71d63...93a815

Smart Score

Win Rate

60.0%

Total P&L

+$5

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

1.56

Sortino Ratio

5.41

Max Drawdown

332.5%

ROI

6.7%

Profit Factor

1.36

Kelly Fraction

0.158

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

030.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	SELL	91.7¢	2.77	Mar 5
Aston Villa FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5	SELL	99.9¢	1.75	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?	SELL	96.2¢	3.32	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	BUY	36.0¢	2.778	Mar 4
Aston Villa FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5	BUY	57.0¢	1.754	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	17.6¢	5.682	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	8.6¢	11.609	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?	BUY	43.0¢	3.326	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	SELL	20.3¢	7.67	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	33.1¢	3.021	Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	35.2¢	7.67	Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?	SELL	99.9¢	2.7	Feb 27
Ethereum Up or Down - February 26, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	BUY	55.0¢	2.6	Feb 26
XRP Up or Down - February 26, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	SELL	99.0¢	1.44	Feb 26
XRP Up or Down - February 26, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	BUY	80.0¢	1.45	Feb 26
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?	BUY	37.0¢	2.703	Feb 26
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 28?	BUY	23.2¢	4.31	Feb 25
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 24, 2026?	SELL	98.2¢	3.01	Feb 25
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 24?	SELL	99.9¢	2.85	Feb 24
Ethereum Up or Down - February 24, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	BUY	57.0¢	1.754	Feb 24

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing30.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.70

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)28.1%

Win Consistency51.4%

Profit Factor0.80

Drawdown Resilience0.65

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.65

Weekly Sharpe est.0.49

Trading Activity53 trades · 10 active days

P&L Calendar

$56d profit4d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue