0xd7718B8cF5E6a9f5F8C38Ced76fF3148a1C3489F-1761149311850

0xd7718b...c3489f

Smart Score

Win Rate

44.7%

Total P&L

-$1.4K

Trade Count

310

Sharpe Ratio

0.17

Sortino Ratio

0.38

Max Drawdown

1734.0%

ROI

-3.5%

Profit Factor

0.61

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

08.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	BUY	86.0¢	412.372	Mar 5
Will Phantom launch a token by June 30, 2026?	BUY	7.6¢	414.188	Mar 4
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?	BUY	24.0¢	212.825	Mar 4
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	SELL	23.0¢	311.11	Mar 4
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	BUY	8.0¢	263.5	Mar 3
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?	BUY	58.0¢	1,041.672	Mar 3
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026?	BUY	79.7¢	413.618	Mar 3
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	BUY	77.8¢	1,040.08	Mar 3
Trump out as President before 2027?	BUY	82.8¢	730.512	Mar 2
Discord IPO before 2027?	BUY	80.0¢	319.15	Mar 2
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	BUY	27.0¢	311.114	Mar 2
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	BUY	80.0¢	515.463	Mar 2
Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration before 2027?	BUY	33.9¢	109.905	Mar 2
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?	BUY	83.5¢	615.262	Mar 2
Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?	SELL	92.0¢	1,361.81	Mar 2
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	BUY	94.2¢	716.08	Mar 2
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?	BUY	58.0¢	729.931	Mar 2
Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?	SELL	97.4¢	1,536.23	Feb 27
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	BUY	62.0¢	211.274	Feb 27
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	BUY	63.8¢	515.673	Feb 27

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing8.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.48

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)8.0%

Win Consistency49.2%

Profit Factor0.23

Drawdown Resilience0.18

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.18

Weekly Sharpe est.0.14

Trading Activity310 trades · 58 active days

P&L Calendar

$13,04016d profit42d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue