0xd852E6ac92b11fe4A843ee8CE3d93D852cD9d5A4-1771820729084

0xd852e6...d9d5a4

Smart Score

Win Rate

70.0%

Total P&L

+$11

Trade Count

108

Sharpe Ratio

-1.14

Sortino Ratio

-1.06

Max Drawdown

499.5%

ROI

3.4%

Profit Factor

2.22

Kelly Fraction

0.385

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

015.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	BUY	65.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?	BUY	83.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will Benoît Payan win the Marseille mayor election?	BUY	88.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?	BUY	82.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	BUY	56.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	SELL	90.0¢	8	Mar 4
Will Luis Antonio Revilla win the 2026 La Paz gubernatorial election?	BUY	85.9¢	5.006	Mar 4
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-04?	SELL	99.9¢	3	Mar 4
Will "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top global Netflix show this week?	SELL	95.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will "Most Advanced" or "Most Powerful" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?	SELL	11.0¢	1.15	Mar 4
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	SELL	95.0¢	5.17	Mar 4
Will Laure Lavalette be the next mayor of Toulon?	BUY	69.0¢	2	Mar 4
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?	BUY	77.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will Luis Fernando Camacho win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?	BUY	67.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?	BUY	89.0¢	3.034	Mar 4
Will Edouard Philippe be the next mayor of Le Havre?	BUY	67.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will Benoît Payan win the Marseille mayor election?	BUY	83.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will Laure Lavalette be the next mayor of Toulon?	BUY	76.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?	SELL	84.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-04?	BUY	37.0¢	3	Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing15.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.86

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)14.2%

Win Consistency50.0%

Profit Factor0.41

Drawdown Resilience0.33

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.33

Weekly Sharpe est.0.25

Trading Activity108 trades · 11 active days

P&L Calendar

$522d profit9d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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