0xda2ca8...490fdb

Smart Score

Win Rate

66.1%

Total P&L

-$13

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.48

Sortino Ratio

0.97

Max Drawdown

505.9%

ROI

-12.3%

Profit Factor

0.58

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

013.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7?	BUY	88.0¢	1.136	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?	BUY	66.0¢	1.515	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	BUY	63.0¢	1.587	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	BUY	74.0¢	1.351	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	SELL	34.0¢	1.36	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	91.0¢	1.099	Mar 3
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	BUY	73.0¢	1.37	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	BUY	50.0¢	2	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	78.7¢	1.271	Mar 3
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?	BUY	69.0¢	1.449	Mar 2
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?	BUY	71.4¢	2.801	Mar 2
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?	BUY	79.0¢	1.266	Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	94.7¢	2.112	Mar 2
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 7th?	BUY	81.0¢	2.469	Mar 2
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?	BUY	81.0¢	2.469	Mar 1
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?	BUY	52.0¢	3.846	Mar 1
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	87.3¢	1.145	Mar 1
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 65m?	SELL	66.0¢	5	Mar 1
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	BUY	23.0¢	4.348	Feb 28
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 65m?	BUY	20.0¢	5	Feb 28

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing13.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.76

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)12.6%

Win Consistency56.1%

Profit Factor0.36

Drawdown Resilience0.29

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.29

Weekly Sharpe est.0.22

Trading Activity69 trades · 19 active days

P&L Calendar

$872d profit17d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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