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0xDf42A721ffe0c1c7a5d64cD5510c1463eA41B67b-1770956238684

0xdf42a7...41b67b
Smart Score
3
Win Rate
71.2%
Total P&L
-$5
Trade Count
175
Sharpe Ratio
-1.04
Sortino Ratio
-0.92
Max Drawdown
6383.9%
ROI
-0.4%
Profit Factor
0.65
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
02.5/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY97.6¢5.123Mar 5
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY96.9¢5.16Mar 5
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY58.3¢10.292Mar 5
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL98.0¢9.21Mar 5
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?SELL93.1¢5.34Mar 4
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL58.3¢13.72Mar 4
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY93.5¢5.348Mar 4
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY58.3¢13.722Mar 4
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL96.7¢9.29Mar 4
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?SELL97.0¢10.25Mar 4
Xi Jinping out before 2027?SELL91.5¢5.45Mar 4
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY96.8¢9.298Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL82.2¢10.93Mar 4
Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY91.6¢5.459Mar 4
Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)BUY97.0¢5.155Mar 4
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-2.5)BUY95.0¢8.421Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY82.3¢10.936Mar 4
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?BUY97.5¢10.256Mar 4
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?SELL96.7¢9.33Mar 4
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL91.6¢10.9Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%11%50–70%6%70–80%6%80–90%78%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing2.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.14
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)2.3%
Win Consistency45.3%
Profit Factor0.07
Drawdown Resilience0.05
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.05
Weekly Sharpe est.0.04
Trading Activity175 trades · 21 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$2861d profit20d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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