0xDigitalDynamics

0xa2890b...74daa5@MegganA87551

Smart Score

Win Rate

46.2%

Total P&L

-$9

Trade Count

132

Sharpe Ratio

0.09

Sortino Ratio

0.18

Max Drawdown

100.8%

ROI

-0.1%

Profit Factor

0.57

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

03.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	BUY	83.6¢	120.785	Mar 5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	BUY	86.0¢	42.242	Mar 5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	BUY	85.4¢	400	Mar 5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	20.0¢	400	Mar 5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	BUY	85.3¢	8.79	Mar 5
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	SELL	86.2¢	103.96	Mar 4
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	SELL	89.0¢	107.52	Mar 4
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	SELL	93.3¢	104.16	Mar 4
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	SELL	96.5¢	103.41	Mar 4
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	86.0¢	1,000	Mar 1
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	85.0¢	1,000	Mar 1
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	BUY	93.0¢	107.527	Mar 1
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	BUY	96.2¢	103.97	Mar 1
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	BUY	96.0¢	104.167	Mar 1
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	BUY	96.7¢	103.413	Mar 1
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	SELL	82.0¢	459.35	Feb 28
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	SELL	82.0¢	1,220	Feb 28
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	SELL	82.0¢	34.634	Feb 28
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	SELL	82.0¢	10.5	Feb 28
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	SELL	82.0¢	10.5	Feb 28

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing3.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.20

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)3.4%

Win Consistency38.5%

Profit Factor0.10

Drawdown Resilience0.08

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.08

Weekly Sharpe est.0.06

Trading Activity132 trades · 7 active days

P&L Calendar

$7112d profit5d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue