0xf766e2311f06DfA5d337F519b68bDB608E108C97-1770738260430

0xf766e2...108c97

Smart Score

Win Rate

14.3%

Total P&L

+$1.7K

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

2.63

Sortino Ratio

96.16

Max Drawdown

300.0%

ROI

211.3%

Profit Factor

3.73

Kelly Fraction

0.105

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

040.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	BUY	19.0¢	5.263	Mar 4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?	BUY	5.0¢	20	Mar 4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?	BUY	28.0¢	17.857	Mar 4
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?	BUY	28.0¢	7.143	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	BUY	0.9¢	111.111	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	BUY	6.0¢	16.667	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	BUY	3.0¢	33.333	Mar 4
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?	BUY	18.0¢	5.556	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	BUY	23.0¢	21.739	Mar 4
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?	BUY	9.0¢	11.111	Mar 1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	BUY	1.0¢	100	Mar 1
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by February 28?	SELL	0.3¢	28.93	Mar 1
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	BUY	14.0¢	7.143	Feb 28
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	BUY	13.0¢	7.692	Feb 28
Will CrowdStrike Holdings (CRWD) beat quarterly earnings?	BUY	13.0¢	7.692	Feb 28
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	17.0¢	11.765	Feb 28
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	BUY	12.0¢	5.55	Feb 28
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	BUY	12.0¢	1.136	Feb 28
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	BUY	12.0¢	2.4	Feb 28
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by February 28?	BUY	3.5¢	28.936	Feb 28

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing40.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.24

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)37.0%

Win Consistency66.7%

Profit Factor1.06

Drawdown Resilience0.85

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.85

Weekly Sharpe est.0.65

Trading Activity44 trades · 5 active days

P&L Calendar

$6860d profit5d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue