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0xf7fe63...741e42

0xf7fe63...741e42
Smart Score
72
Win Rate
57.2%
Total P&L
+$1.1K
Trade Count
986
Sharpe Ratio
1.84
Sortino Ratio
4.45
Max Drawdown
16.2%
ROI
18.5%
Profit Factor
2.87
Kelly Fraction
0.373
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
072/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Tom Sell be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?SELL54.0¢6.1Mar 4
Will Vicky Dávila win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?BUY93.4¢2.1Mar 4
Will Vicky Dávila win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?BUY93.4¢7.273Mar 4
Will Vicky Dávila win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?BUY93.4¢1.902Mar 4
Will Eric Barlow win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?BUY85.3¢14Mar 3
Will Christian Menefee be the Democratic nominee for TX-18?SELL25.0¢3Mar 3
Will Christian Menefee be the Democratic nominee for TX-18?SELL25.0¢11Mar 3
Will Margot Robbie attend the Oscars?SELL33.0¢7.9Mar 3
Will Jace Yarbrough be the Republican Nominee for TX-32?SELL23.0¢0.6Mar 3
Will Jace Yarbrough be the Republican Nominee for TX-32?SELL23.0¢7Mar 3
Will XRP reach $4.20 by December 31, 2026?SELL93.0¢1Mar 2
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?BUY88.0¢14Mar 2
Will Theo launch a token by September 30 2026?BUY9.0¢14Mar 2
Will Valencia finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?BUY97.1¢14Mar 1
Will July be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?BUY88.0¢14Mar 1
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY85.2¢14Mar 1
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?SELL95.4¢1.3Feb 28
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?SELL95.4¢8.5Feb 28
Will MrBeast hit 500 Million subscribers by March 31?BUY96.5¢14Feb 28
Will Greece advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?BUY6.0¢14Feb 28

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%13%< 10%6%10–20%4%20–30%8%30–50%16%50–70%7%70–80%15%80–90%31%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Active72

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.96
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)65.5%
Win Consistency74.9%
Profit Factor1.87
Drawdown Resilience1.51
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.51
Weekly Sharpe est.1.15
Trading Activity986 trades · 17 active days
AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
+$4269d profit8d loss
AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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