0xshuai

0xab0354...13358b

Smart Score

Win Rate

54.2%

Total P&L

+$9

Trade Count

147

Sharpe Ratio

1.99

Sortino Ratio

13.81

Max Drawdown

334.7%

ROI

2.1%

Profit Factor

1.23

Kelly Fraction

0.101

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

027.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	69.5¢	5	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	BUY	54.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	BUY	74.0¢	5	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	61.0¢	5	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	34.0¢	5	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	24.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	SELL	49.0¢	10	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	BUY	49.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	BUY	49.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	SELL	95.9¢	5	Mar 4
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	BUY	96.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?	SELL	96.4¢	5	Mar 4
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	SELL	97.3¢	5	Mar 4
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?	BUY	96.7¢	5	Mar 4
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	BUY	97.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	SELL	95.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BUY	95.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?	SELL	95.7¢	5	Mar 4
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?	BUY	96.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	SELL	96.9¢	5	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing27.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.51

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)24.9%

Win Consistency33.7%

Profit Factor0.71

Drawdown Resilience0.58

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.58

Weekly Sharpe est.0.44

Trading Activity147 trades · 8 active days

P&L Calendar

$2650d profit8d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue