10uzhanshena

0x4abd3c...4881ca

Smart Score

Win Rate

70.7%

Total P&L

-$5

Trade Count

176

Sharpe Ratio

-0.09

Sortino Ratio

-0.16

Max Drawdown

1707.5%

ROI

-0.5%

Profit Factor

0.97

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

09.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	BUY	49.0¢	10.204	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	BUY	88.0¢	5.682	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	10	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?	BUY	82.8¢	6.039	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	91.0¢	5.495	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	BUY	82.0¢	6.098	Mar 5
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?	BUY	91.4¢	5.471	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	BUY	65.0¢	7.692	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	BUY	80.0¢	6.25	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	BUY	95.0¢	5.263	Mar 4
Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?	BUY	75.0¢	6.667	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	BUY	53.0¢	9.434	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	BUY	92.1¢	10.858	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	BUY	95.0¢	10.526	Mar 3
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	90.1¢	11.099	Mar 3
Ukraine hits Moscow by March 31, 2026?	BUY	93.0¢	10.753	Mar 3
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?	BUY	64.0¢	7.813	Mar 3
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	BUY	67.0¢	7.463	Mar 3
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	BUY	81.0¢	6.173	Mar 3
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?	BUY	88.0¢	5.682	Mar 3

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing9.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.51

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)8.5%

Win Consistency44.4%

Profit Factor0.24

Drawdown Resilience0.20

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.20

Weekly Sharpe est.0.15

Trading Activity176 trades · 26 active days

P&L Calendar

$8341d profit25d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue