1234p

0xfb3937...25ba6b
Smart Score
20
Win Rate
57.1%
Total P&L
-$2.1K
Trade Count
72
Sharpe Ratio
1.82
Sortino Ratio
11.94
Max Drawdown
1248.8%
ROI
-4.7%
Profit Factor
0.51
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
020.4/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL1.6¢2,088Mar 4
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY1.7¢2,088Mar 4
Will Jaylen Brown win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?SELL1.0¢2,000Mar 3
Will Jaylen Brown win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?BUY1.0¢2,000Mar 3
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL1.1¢1,999.97Mar 2
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY1.1¢158.81Mar 2
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY1.1¢10.111Mar 2
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY1.1¢1,011.122Mar 2
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY1.1¢819.932Mar 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 1?BUY97.3¢32Feb 28
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY99.7¢30Feb 28
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL2.5¢1,850Feb 26
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY2.5¢1,600Feb 26
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY2.5¢250Feb 26
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL2.2¢1,300Feb 26
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY2.5¢1,050Feb 21
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY2.5¢250Feb 21
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL2.2¢903.46Feb 21
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL2.2¢5.1Feb 21
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL2.2¢50Feb 21
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%43%< 10%10–20%20–30%3%30–50%7%50–70%70–80%80–90%47%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing20.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.12
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)18.6%
Win Consistency40.0%
Profit Factor0.53
Drawdown Resilience0.43
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.43
Weekly Sharpe est.0.33
Trading Activity72 trades · 12 active days
AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$6,2493d profit8d loss
AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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