123erty

0xc93c86...f652f1

Smart Score

Win Rate

48.3%

Total P&L

+$49.0K

Trade Count

3,538

Sharpe Ratio

-0.10

Sortino Ratio

-0.24

Max Drawdown

288.8%

ROI

8.1%

Profit Factor

2.71

Kelly Fraction

0.305

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

020.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Paradex FDV above $300M one day after launch?	BUY	16.0¢	1,000	Mar 5
Paradex FDV above $300M one day after launch?	BUY	19.0¢	526.316	Mar 5
Paradex FDV above $300M one day after launch?	BUY	18.0¢	200	Mar 5
Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by March 31?	BUY	95.0¢	500	Mar 5
Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by March 31?	BUY	95.5¢	1,106.4	Mar 5
Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by March 31, 2026?	SELL	28.0¢	2.443	Mar 4
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by June 30, 2026?	SELL	93.0¢	290.42	Mar 4
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by April 30, 2026?	SELL	90.0¢	433.7	Mar 4
Will Kevin Cramer vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve?	SELL	85.0¢	149.85	Mar 4
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?	SELL	23.0¢	112.74	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	75.0¢	13.333	Mar 4
Base FDV above $10B one day after launch?	BUY	17.0¢	37.26	Mar 4
Base FDV above $10B one day after launch?	BUY	17.0¢	135.73	Mar 4
Will Russia enter Rizdvianka by March 31, 2026?	SELL	95.0¢	1,149	Mar 3
Will Russia enter Rizdvianka by March 31, 2026?	SELL	95.1¢	2,800	Mar 3
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?	SELL	23.0¢	15	Mar 3
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?	BUY	48.0¢	250	Mar 3
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by April 30, 2026?	SELL	86.0¢	250	Mar 3
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 31, 2026?	SELL	77.0¢	282.13	Mar 3
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 31, 2026?	BUY	63.0¢	282.122	Mar 3

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing20.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.15

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)19.0%

Win Consistency49.1%

Profit Factor0.54

Drawdown Resilience0.44

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.44

Weekly Sharpe est.0.33

Trading Activity3,538 trades · 139 active days

P&L Calendar

$46,40346d profit93d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue