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13lur

13lur

0xa85414...143856
Smart Score
52
Win Rate
27.3%
Total P&L
+$652
Trade Count
832
Sharpe Ratio
0.79
Sortino Ratio
9.39
Max Drawdown
30.2%
ROI
6.0%
Profit Factor
1.46
Kelly Fraction
0.086
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
052.1/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?BUY4.1¢300Mar 5
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of March 2 above $180?SELL29.0¢43.15Mar 4
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of March 2 above $405?SELL43.6¢50Mar 4
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of March 2 above $405?SELL80.0¢50Mar 4
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of March 2 above $180?SELL50.0¢54Mar 4
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of March 2 above $180?SELL46.0¢12.37Mar 3
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of March 2 above $180?SELL46.0¢78.28Mar 3
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of March 2 above $180?SELL46.0¢6.5Mar 3
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of March 2 above $180?SELL46.0¢6.06Mar 3
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of March 2 above $180?SELL60.0¢24Mar 3
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of March 2 above $180?SELL50.0¢81.25Mar 3
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of March 2 above $180?BUY46.9¢200Mar 3
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of March 2 above $180?BUY46.8¢120Mar 3
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of March 2 above $180?BUY40.0¢5Mar 3
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of March 2 above $405?BUY57.0¢100Mar 3
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of March 2 above $180?BUY56.2¢20Mar 2
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of March 2 above $180?SELL50.0¢23Mar 2
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of March 2 above $180?BUY54.6¢23.62Mar 2
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 12PM ETSELL73.0¢100Mar 1
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 12PM ETBUY80.0¢100Mar 1

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%53%< 10%13%10–20%4%20–30%13%30–50%9%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing52.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.87
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)47.4%
Win Consistency46.9%
Profit Factor1.35
Drawdown Resilience1.09
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.09
Weekly Sharpe est.0.83
Trading Activity832 trades · 86 active days
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P&L Calendar
$45031d profit55d loss
AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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