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3050014159

0xe385ec...eca91f
Smart Score
46
Win Rate
48.0%
Total P&L
+$702
Trade Count
399
Sharpe Ratio
0.57
Sortino Ratio
4.82
Max Drawdown
4671.1%
ROI
7.6%
Profit Factor
6.30
Kelly Fraction
0.404
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
046.1/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL1.7¢20Mar 5
Will Mohammad-Reza Modarresi Yazdi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL0.1¢617.66Mar 5
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL10.9¢50Mar 5
Will Hashem Hosseini Bushehri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL0.5¢10Mar 5
Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL3.2¢100Mar 5
Will Trump say "Job" 10+ times during tech signing event on Wednesday?SELL0.1¢124.84Mar 4
Will Trump say "Job" 10+ times during tech signing event on Wednesday?SELL0.1¢426.57Mar 4
Will Trump say "Job" 10+ times during tech signing event on Wednesday?SELL0.2¢5Mar 4
Will Trump say "Job" 10+ times during tech signing event on Wednesday?SELL0.2¢57.58Mar 4
Will Trump say "Job" 10+ times during tech signing event on Wednesday?BUY5.7¢14.68Mar 4
Will Trump say "Job" 10+ times during tech signing event on Wednesday?BUY5.7¢17.32Mar 4
Will Trump say "Job" 10+ times during tech signing event on Wednesday?BUY5.5¢20Mar 4
Will Trump say "Job" 10+ times during tech signing event on Wednesday?BUY6.4¢20Mar 4
Will Trump say "Job" 10+ times during tech signing event on Wednesday?BUY4.9¢53Mar 4
Will Trump say "Job" 10+ times during tech signing event on Wednesday?BUY6.9¢26Mar 4
Will Trump say "Job" 10+ times during tech signing event on Wednesday?BUY7.5¢100Mar 4
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during tech signing event on Wednesday?SELL99.9¢10Mar 4
Will Trump say "Job" 10+ times during tech signing event on Wednesday?BUY7.0¢96.45Mar 4
Will Trump say "Job" 10+ times during tech signing event on Wednesday?BUY7.0¢1.548Mar 4
Will Trump say "Job" 10+ times during tech signing event on Wednesday?BUY7.0¢2Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%59%< 10%4%10–20%6%20–30%8%30–50%6%50–70%4%70–80%9%80–90%5%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing46.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.54
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)41.9%
Win Consistency52.3%
Profit Factor1.20
Drawdown Resilience0.97
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.97
Weekly Sharpe est.0.74
Trading Activity312 trades · 19 active days
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P&L Calendar
$3,5845d profit14d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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