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3m1n41k

0xf9de57...b33af5
Smart Score
0
Win Rate
30.8%
Total P&L
-$102
Trade Count
21
Sharpe Ratio
-0.89
Sortino Ratio
-1.19
Max Drawdown
380.1%
ROI
-5.1%
Profit Factor
-0.08
Kelly Fraction
1.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
00/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY36.0¢205.556Mar 5
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?BUY21.0¢357.143Mar 5
Will Elon tweet 420–449 times August 8–August 15?BUY17.8¢485.642Aug 11
Will Elon tweet 335–349 times August 8–August 15?SELL6.8¢1,272.77Aug 11
Will Elon tweet 335–349 times August 8–August 15?BUY10.4¢1,272.778Aug 11
Will Elon tweet 240–254 times August 1–August 8?SELL14.4¢923.42Aug 5
Will Elon tweet 240–254 times August 1–August 8?BUY14.4¢923.423Aug 4
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times July 25–August 1?SELL30.8¢431.23Jul 29
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times July 25–August 1?BUY17.0¢431.235Jul 27
Will Elon tweet 195–209 times July 18–25?BUY65.6¢76.197Jul 23
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times July 11–18?BUY61.4¢123.306Jul 16
Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?SELL55.1¢137.03Jul 16
Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?BUY64.2¢137.03Jul 15
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on July 14?SELL40.3¢109.51Jul 15
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on July 14?BUY91.3¢109.511Jul 14
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 11–18?SELL23.7¢470.84Jul 13
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 11–18?BUY21.2¢470.844Jul 12
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 4–11?SELL85.0¢140.84Jul 10
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 4–11?BUY71.0¢140.845Jul 9
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $109K on July 9?SELL77.0¢145.58Jul 9

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%31%10–20%15%20–30%8%30–50%31%50–70%8%70–80%80–90%8%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%
Win Consistency30.8%
Profit Factor0.00
Drawdown Resilience0.00
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00
Weekly Sharpe est.0.00
Trading Activity21 trades · 14 active days
AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$3724d profit10d loss
AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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