436fd

0x85c250...c065fc

Smart Score

Win Rate

68.2%

Total P&L

+$5

Trade Count

319

Sharpe Ratio

-1.96

Sortino Ratio

-1.73

Max Drawdown

4792.0%

ROI

0.2%

Profit Factor

1.47

Kelly Fraction

0.218

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

08.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	95.6¢	7.31	Mar 5
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	95.7¢	7.315	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11PM ET	BUY	99.0¢	10.101	Mar 4
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	SELL	51.0¢	19.25	Mar 4
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	92.7¢	9.69	Mar 4
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	92.8¢	9.698	Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	94.4¢	6.34	Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	94.6¢	6.342	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1PM ET	BUY	99.9¢	10.01	Mar 4
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	BUY	52.0¢	19.231	Mar 4
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-2.5)	BUY	94.0¢	8.511	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4AM ET	BUY	99.4¢	10.06	Mar 4
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	SELL	67.0¢	10.44	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1AM ET	BUY	98.9¢	9.1	Mar 4
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	BUY	67.0¢	10.448	Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 8PM ET	BUY	98.0¢	5.102	Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 5PM ET	SELL	99.9¢	8.2	Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 5PM ET	BUY	97.5¢	8.205	Mar 3
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	SELL	80.0¢	8.04	Mar 3
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	SELL	80.0¢	0.71	Mar 3

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing8.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.46

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)7.6%

Win Consistency42.2%

Profit Factor0.22

Drawdown Resilience0.18

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.18

Weekly Sharpe est.0.13

Trading Activity319 trades · 35 active days

P&L Calendar

$5086d profit29d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue