43tyfdg

0x36c1a0...328d7c

Smart Score

Win Rate

62.0%

Total P&L

-$11

Trade Count

281

Sharpe Ratio

0.31

Sortino Ratio

2.05

Max Drawdown

1645.5%

ROI

-0.5%

Profit Factor

0.52

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

012.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	96.8¢	8.25	Mar 5
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	96.9¢	8.256	Mar 5
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	78.8¢	10.15	Mar 5
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	78.9¢	10.139	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11PM ET	BUY	99.0¢	7.071	Mar 4
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	SELL	93.1¢	5.3	Mar 4
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	SELL	83.0¢	8.25	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4AM ET	BUY	99.3¢	8.056	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2AM ET	BUY	99.9¢	10.01	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12AM ET	BUY	97.0¢	5.155	Mar 4
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	BUY	85.0¢	8.235	Mar 3
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	SELL	52.0¢	11.53	Mar 3
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	BUY	52.0¢	11.538	Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 11AM ET	BUY	92.4¢	8.658	Mar 3
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	BUY	94.2¢	5.308	Mar 3
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	97.4¢	19.46	Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 3PM ET	BUY	98.8¢	8.097	Mar 2
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	95.4¢	8.35	Mar 2
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	95.8¢	8.354	Mar 2
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 9PM ET	BUY	97.0¢	5.155	Feb 28

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing12.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.69

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)11.4%

Win Consistency47.8%

Profit Factor0.33

Drawdown Resilience0.26

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.26

Weekly Sharpe est.0.20

Trading Activity281 trades · 32 active days

P&L Calendar

$3387d profit25d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue