Accrue
Log inGet Access

4deg455y

0x47d163...9b8dc0
Smart Score
24
Win Rate
64.2%
Total P&L
+$180
Trade Count
326
Sharpe Ratio
-1.30
Sortino Ratio
-1.14
Max Drawdown
1819.7%
ROI
1.7%
Profit Factor
6.15
Kelly Fraction
0.538
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
024.4/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL95.6¢7.32Mar 5
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY95.7¢7.315Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12AM ETSELL99.8¢5.02Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12AM ETBUY99.5¢5.025Mar 5
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL91.1¢6.57Mar 4
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL92.6¢9.68Mar 4
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY91.2¢6.579Mar 4
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL97.3¢7.18Mar 4
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY97.4¢7.187Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4PM ETBUY98.6¢5.071Mar 4
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY93.0¢9.677Mar 4
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL93.6¢10.64Mar 4
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY93.9¢10.65Mar 4
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL97.6¢10.22Mar 4
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY97.8¢10.225Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10AM ETSELL99.9¢5.01Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10AM ETBUY99.8¢5.01Mar 4
Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)BUY94.0¢9.574Mar 4
Xi Jinping out before 2027?SELL91.5¢5.45Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6AM ETBUY98.0¢6.122Mar 4

Analytics

Unlock full analytics on Accrue
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%13%50–70%7%70–80%11%80–90%67%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing24.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.34
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)22.2%
Win Consistency45.5%
Profit Factor0.63
Drawdown Resilience0.51
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.51
Weekly Sharpe est.0.39
Trading Activity326 trades · 39 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$5838d profit30d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

Unlock Full Analytics