764418
0x0d58e5...c5d840
Smart Score
14
Win Rate
64.3%
Total P&L
+$3.2K
Trade Count
15
Sharpe Ratio
0.18
Sortino Ratio
0.50
Max Drawdown
129.8%
ROI
14.0%
Profit Factor
1.34
Kelly Fraction
0.163
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
014.3/100100
Recent Trades
| Market | Side | Price | Size | Time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYA (NYA) Up or Down on February 12? | BUY | 50.0¢ | 12,859.48 | Feb 12 |
| Meta (META) Up or Down on February 11? | BUY | 50.0¢ | 6,498.37 | Feb 11 |
| NYA (NYA) Up or Down on January 15? | BUY | 50.0¢ | 6,665.08 | Jan 15 |
| Meta (META) Up or Down on December 15? | BUY | 50.0¢ | 4,361.25 | Dec 15 |
| Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on December 5? | BUY | 50.0¢ | 4,220.85 | Dec 5 |
| Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on December 1? | BUY | 51.0¢ | 2,256 | Dec 1 |
| Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on November 21? | BUY | 53.0¢ | 2,345 | Nov 21 |
| Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on November 12? | BUY | 48.0¢ | 2,262 | Nov 12 |
| Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on November 10? | BUY | 49.0¢ | 1,314 | Nov 10 |
| Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on November 7? | BUY | 55.0¢ | 644 | Nov 7 |
| Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on November 6? | BUY | 60.0¢ | 554 | Nov 6 |
| XRP Up or Down on November 4? | BUY | 79.0¢ | 421 | Nov 3 |
| Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on November 3? | BUY | 49.0¢ | 348 | Nov 2 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025? | SELL | 96.2¢ | 194.29 | Nov 2 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025? | BUY | 96.1¢ | 194.298 | Nov 1 |
Analytics
Unlock full analytics on AccrueOdds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range
Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing14.3
Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager
Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.79
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)13.0%
Win Consistency57.1%
Profit Factor0.37
Drawdown Resilience0.30
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.30
Weekly Sharpe est.0.23
Trading Activity15 trades · 14 active days
P&L Calendar
$22,6151d profit13d loss
Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude
Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue
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