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87698679

0xff3a18...f3864a
Smart Score
3
Win Rate
64.7%
Total P&L
-$9
Trade Count
85
Sharpe Ratio
-0.99
Sortino Ratio
-0.77
Max Drawdown
7003.4%
ROI
-0.1%
Profit Factor
0.66
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
02.8/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11PM ETBUY98.0¢8.163Mar 4
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?SELL51.0¢17.3Mar 4
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL97.3¢8.21Mar 4
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY97.4¢8.214Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7PM ETSELL77.0¢6.18Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7PM ETBUY97.0¢6.186Mar 4
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL97.5¢6.14Mar 4
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY97.6¢6.148Mar 4
Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)BUY95.0¢6.316Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL51.0¢9.8Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY51.0¢9.804Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4AM ETBUY99.4¢10.06Mar 4
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL97.3¢10.26Mar 4
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY97.4¢10.267Mar 4
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?BUY52.0¢17.308Mar 4
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL97.7¢7.15Mar 3
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY97.8¢7.157Mar 3
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?SELL66.0¢9.67Mar 3
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?SELL84.6¢10.09Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 9PM ETBUY97.0¢8.247Feb 28

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%8%30–50%29%50–70%4%70–80%80–90%58%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing2.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.15
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)2.5%
Win Consistency54.3%
Profit Factor0.07
Drawdown Resilience0.06
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.06
Weekly Sharpe est.0.04
Trading Activity67 trades · 11 active days
AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1261d profit10d loss
AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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