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aferwqt

0x5f2556...c6c297
Smart Score
6
Win Rate
16.7%
Total P&L
+$950
Trade Count
26
Sharpe Ratio
-2.55
Sortino Ratio
-2.22
Max Drawdown
10710.0%
ROI
6.8%
Profit Factor
4.55
Kelly Fraction
0.130
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
05.9/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Mavericks vs. MagicBUY76.0¢129.79Mar 5
Paradex FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?BUY99.8¢48.848Mar 4
Trail Blazers vs. GrizzliesBUY32.0¢382.39Mar 3
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY99.7¢84.413Mar 2
Nuggets vs. JazzBUY18.0¢404.5Mar 1
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL99.2¢1,174.06Feb 27
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY99.3¢1,174.06Feb 27
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL99.0¢1,052.39Feb 27
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY99.1¢1,052.39Feb 27
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL99.0¢1,004.08Feb 27
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY99.1¢1,004.08Feb 26
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?BUY99.8¢35.331Feb 26
Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?SELL99.1¢1,158.49Feb 26
Trail Blazers vs. BullsBUY38.0¢27.54Feb 26
Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY99.2¢1,158.49Feb 26
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL99.7¢961.37Feb 25
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY99.8¢961.37Feb 25
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?BUY38.0¢32.02Feb 24
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?BUY99.3¢34.733Feb 24
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL99.2¢958Feb 24

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%5%10–20%20–30%30%30–50%10%50–70%5%70–80%80–90%50%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing5.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.32
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)5.4%
Win Consistency21.1%
Profit Factor0.15
Drawdown Resilience0.12
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.12
Weekly Sharpe est.0.09
Trading Activity26 trades · 11 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1,4871d profit10d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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