agrgdrsr

0x918066...ce5af8

Smart Score

Win Rate

54.9%

Total P&L

+$172

Trade Count

186

Sharpe Ratio

0.51

Sortino Ratio

1.05

Max Drawdown

51.0%

ROI

0.1%

Profit Factor

1.56

Kelly Fraction

0.196

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

036/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	99.2¢	1,455	Mar 5
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	99.5¢	1,327.62	Mar 5
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.6¢	1,327.62	Mar 5
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	99.8¢	1,333.33	Mar 4
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.9¢	1,333.333	Mar 4
Will The Secret Agent win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	SELL	99.5¢	1,101	Mar 4
Will The Secret Agent win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	BUY	99.6¢	1,101	Mar 4
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)	BUY	50.0¢	209.37	Mar 4
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	99.3¢	1,269.35	Mar 3
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.4¢	1,269.35	Mar 3
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	99.8¢	1,381.36	Mar 3
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.9¢	1,381.361	Mar 3
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	99.5¢	1,256.67	Mar 3
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.6¢	1,256.67	Mar 3
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?	SELL	99.4¢	1,122	Mar 3
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?	BUY	99.5¢	1,122	Mar 3
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	99.7¢	1,487.29	Mar 2
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.8¢	1,487.295	Mar 2
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-02?	BUY	51.0¢	276.32	Mar 2
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	99.1¢	1,572	Mar 2

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing36

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.98

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)32.8%

Win Consistency23.1%

Profit Factor0.94

Drawdown Resilience0.76

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.76

Weekly Sharpe est.0.58

Trading Activity186 trades · 29 active days

P&L Calendar

$2,2681d profit28d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue