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AkaSakuraKumaRinHanaTsuki4829

0x3918f7...246d94
Smart Score
27
Win Rate
14.3%
Total P&L
-$4
Trade Count
28
Sharpe Ratio
0.02
Sortino Ratio
0.06
Max Drawdown
0.0%
ROI
-1.3%
Profit Factor
0.74
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
027.1/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY98.1¢25.321Mar 5
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?BUY3.8¢27.368Mar 5
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.8¢100Mar 3
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL98.7¢29.2Mar 3
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY1.0¢100Mar 2
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY98.8¢29.2Mar 2
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL1.4¢58.82Mar 1
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL96.3¢21.3Mar 1
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY1.7¢58.824Feb 28
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY96.5¢21.306Feb 28
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL98.5¢24.03Feb 27
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.9¢100Feb 27
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY1.0¢100Feb 26
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY98.6¢24.037Feb 26
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.7¢125Feb 25
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL97.8¢28.75Feb 25
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.8¢125Feb 24
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY97.8¢28.753Feb 24
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL99.1¢24.44Feb 23
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL4.2¢26.13Feb 23

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%44%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%13%50–70%70–80%80–90%44%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing27.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.49
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)24.7%
Win Consistency18.8%
Profit Factor0.70
Drawdown Resilience0.57
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.57
Weekly Sharpe est.0.43
Trading Activity28 trades · 15 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$546d profit9d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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