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AlyincePeng

0x7812f7...6e4bcd
Smart Score
0
Win Rate
70.6%
Total P&L
-$20
Trade Count
185
Sharpe Ratio
-1.13
Sortino Ratio
-2.39
Max Drawdown
6502.9%
ROI
-2.7%
Profit Factor
-0.22
Kelly Fraction
1.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
00/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?SELL11.8¢10Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?BUY41.0¢5Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?BUY17.3¢5Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?BUY17.3¢5Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?BUY7.0¢6.31Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?BUY7.0¢8.69Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?SELL26.5¢15Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?BUY46.5¢15Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?SELL85.0¢5Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?BUY85.0¢5Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?SELL85.8¢5Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?BUY86.7¢5Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?SELL85.8¢5Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?BUY87.4¢5Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?SELL86.8¢5Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?BUY88.6¢5Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?SELL81.5¢5Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?BUY82.0¢5Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?SELL51.4¢5Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?BUY44.4¢5Mar 3

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%4%< 10%10–20%20–30%5%30–50%13%50–70%22%70–80%46%80–90%7%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%
Win Consistency42.9%
Profit Factor0.00
Drawdown Resilience0.00
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00
Weekly Sharpe est.0.00
Trading Activity185 trades · 12 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$424d profit8d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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