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Alyssal8

0xbaf336...4c77f9
Smart Score
13
Win Rate
95.3%
Total P&L
+$3
Trade Count
80
Sharpe Ratio
-3.60
Sortino Ratio
-2.52
Max Drawdown
311700.0%
ROI
0.3%
Profit Factor
1.26
Kelly Fraction
0.200
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
012.9/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 5?BUY97.2¢10Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or higher on March 5?SELL99.0¢10Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or higher on March 5?BUY97.0¢10Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on March 5?BUY98.0¢10Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 50-51°F on March 5?BUY97.0¢10Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 5?SELL99.1¢10Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 5?BUY97.6¢10Mar 4
Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 5 be between 2,200,000 and 2,400,000?BUY98.0¢10Mar 4
Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 5 be between 2,000,000 and 2,200,000?BUY97.9¢10Mar 3
Will Donald May be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?SELL99.0¢10Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 4?BUY99.0¢10Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on March 4?BUY99.0¢10Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or higher on March 4?BUY99.0¢10Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on March 3?SELL99.7¢10Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 3?SELL99.6¢10Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 3?BUY97.0¢10Mar 3
Will Bill Clinton say "President" or "Trump" 3+ times during his Epstein testimony?SELL99.1¢10Mar 2
Will Donald May be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?BUY98.0¢10Mar 2
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m?SELL99.9¢10Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on March 3?BUY98.7¢10Mar 2

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%100%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing12.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.71
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)11.7%
Win Consistency56.8%
Profit Factor0.34
Drawdown Resilience0.27
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.27
Weekly Sharpe est.0.21
Trading Activity80 trades · 30 active days
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P&L Calendar
$6718d profit12d loss
AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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