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andri.i

0x8b4d02...3fc365
Smart Score
36
Win Rate
49.0%
Total P&L
+$769
Trade Count
243
Sharpe Ratio
0.53
Sortino Ratio
5.29
Max Drawdown
85.5%
ROI
5.5%
Profit Factor
2.30
Kelly Fraction
0.277
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
035.6/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL56.0¢273Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY56.8¢273Mar 5
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?BUY82.0¢234.41Mar 4
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?SELL92.2¢257Mar 4
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?BUY82.0¢65.59Mar 4
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?SELL92.5¢93Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 4:35AM-4:40AM ETSELL99.1¢121.28Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 4:35AM-4:40AM ETBUY46.9¢213.071Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 4:35AM-4:40AM ETBUY82.0¢121.951Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 4:35AM-4:40AM ETSELL72.0¢151.85Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 4:35AM-4:40AM ETBUY65.0¢153.846Mar 3
Space FDV above $200M one day after launch?SELL4.0¢8.79Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETSELL48.9¢37.47Mar 2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETSELL50.2¢37.46Mar 2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETSELL49.6¢24.97Mar 2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETBUY45.0¢94Mar 2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETBUY45.0¢6Mar 2
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY30.0¢8.23Mar 1
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY30.0¢5Feb 28
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY30.0¢3.22Feb 28

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%7%< 10%17%10–20%6%20–30%31%30–50%21%50–70%6%70–80%8%80–90%4%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing35.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.96
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)32.4%
Win Consistency49.1%
Profit Factor0.93
Drawdown Resilience0.75
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.75
Weekly Sharpe est.0.57
Trading Activity240 trades · 52 active days
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P&L Calendar
+$7723d profit28d loss
AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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