aoimic23

0xc30715...af02fe

Smart Score

Win Rate

42.7%

Total P&L

-$130

Trade Count

426

Sharpe Ratio

0.32

Sortino Ratio

4.00

Max Drawdown

1315.8%

ROI

-13.6%

Profit Factor

0.48

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

03.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	BUY	29.0¢	7.103	Mar 5
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	32.0¢	3.17	Mar 5
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	10.5¢	10.03	Mar 4
Will Trump say "President Xi" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?	BUY	1.8¢	243.402	Mar 3
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	SELL	34.0¢	13	Mar 3
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	BUY	35.0¢	13	Mar 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 3?	SELL	91.0¢	5	Mar 2
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?	BUY	65.0¢	10.754	Mar 2
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	BUY	76.0¢	10.526	Mar 2
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?	BUY	79.0¢	6.329	Mar 2
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	63.0¢	3.175	Mar 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 3?	BUY	45.0¢	5	Mar 2
Will Iran strike Jordan in March?	SELL	41.0¢	11.9	Mar 2
Will Iran strike Syria in March?	BUY	58.0¢	8.621	Mar 2
Will Iran strike Oman in March?	BUY	60.7¢	8.237	Mar 2
Will Iran strike Jordan in March?	BUY	42.0¢	11.905	Mar 2
Will Iran strike UAE in March?	SELL	1.2¢	60	Mar 2
Will Iran strike Bahrain in March?	SELL	0.6¢	30	Mar 2
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?	BUY	48.0¢	10.417	Mar 2
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	BUY	44.3¢	6.772	Mar 1

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing3.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.19

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)3.1%

Win Consistency33.2%

Profit Factor0.09

Drawdown Resilience0.07

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.07

Weekly Sharpe est.0.05

Trading Activity426 trades · 41 active days

P&L Calendar

$3494d profit33d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue