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apelsin2026

0x0823fd...0d3833
Smart Score
28
Win Rate
56.2%
Total P&L
-$25
Trade Count
181
Sharpe Ratio
1.18
Sortino Ratio
31.39
Max Drawdown
2851.2%
ROI
-5.2%
Profit Factor
0.77
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
028.4/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ETBUY43.9¢2.277Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?SELL99.9¢1.21Mar 4
Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)BUY85.0¢1.176Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?BUY82.0¢1.22Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 4:45PM-5:00PM ETBUY56.0¢1.786Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 4:45PM-5:00PM ETBUY42.9¢2.331Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETBUY47.0¢2.128Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETBUY39.0¢2.564Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 4:35AM-4:40AM ETBUY54.0¢1.852Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:40PM-3:45PM ETBUY32.0¢3.125Mar 1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:40PM-3:45PM ETBUY61.0¢3.279Mar 1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:35PM-3:40PM ETBUY47.0¢2.128Mar 1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:15PM-3:20PM ETBUY55.0¢1.818Mar 1
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ETBUY46.0¢2.174Feb 28
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ETBUY48.0¢4.167Feb 28
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ETBUY37.0¢2.703Feb 28
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ETBUY49.0¢2.041Feb 28
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 1:20AM-1:25AM ETSELL99.9¢1.96Feb 28
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 1:20AM-1:25AM ETBUY50.0¢2Feb 28
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 2PM ETSELL99.0¢7.84Feb 27

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%5%< 10%7%10–20%11%20–30%27%30–50%25%50–70%70–80%10%80–90%12%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing28.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.56
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)25.8%
Win Consistency44.4%
Profit Factor0.74
Drawdown Resilience0.60
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.60
Weekly Sharpe est.0.45
Trading Activity181 trades · 14 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$2023d profit11d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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