apotter

0x99ed7e...845780

Smart Score

Win Rate

85.5%

Total P&L

-$209

Trade Count

100

Sharpe Ratio

-0.07

Sortino Ratio

-0.07

Max Drawdown

319.4%

ROI

-4.3%

Profit Factor

0.39

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

00/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	99.7¢	18.485	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	99.8¢	11.293	Mar 1
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?	BUY	99.9¢	9.589	Feb 27
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	98.9¢	6.886	Feb 26
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	98.8¢	23.3	Feb 25
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?	BUY	99.6¢	22.39	Feb 23
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?	BUY	99.7¢	28.154	Feb 23
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?	BUY	99.3¢	32.246	Feb 20
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	19.159	Feb 19
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	25.095	Feb 16
US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026?	BUY	99.4¢	50.996	Feb 11
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?	BUY	99.9¢	35.335	Jan 30
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	BUY	96.2¢	30.696	Jan 19
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	BUY	95.0¢	5.853	Jan 14
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	BUY	99.9¢	38.068	Dec 30
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	BUY	99.1¢	7.82	Dec 27
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?	BUY	98.8¢	22.702	Dec 23
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?	BUY	93.0¢	31.14	Dec 7
Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair in 2025?	SELL	0.4¢	54.85	Dec 3
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?	BUY	69.0¢	189.58	Nov 20

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%

Win Consistency66.7%

Profit Factor0.00

Drawdown Resilience0.00

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00

Weekly Sharpe est.0.00

Trading Activity78 trades · 64 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,61514d profit50d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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