appley

0x05e042...b71fd7

Smart Score

Win Rate

31.3%

Total P&L

-$11

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-1.97

Sortino Ratio

-1.78

Max Drawdown

958.7%

ROI

-11.4%

Profit Factor

0.09

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

00/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?	SELL	96.4¢	5.81	Mar 5
Will Bath & Body Works (BBWI) beat quarterly earnings?	BUY	94.0¢	3.404	Mar 3
Macron out by June 30, 2026?	BUY	96.5¢	3.42	Mar 3
Will Yoo Seong-min win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?	BUY	95.5¢	3.141	Mar 3
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	82.1¢	5.238	Feb 28
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	BUY	89.9¢	5.562	Feb 25
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	BUY	96.1¢	3.122	Feb 25
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?	BUY	88.6¢	6.323	Feb 23
Will a hurricane form by May 31?	BUY	94.5¢	4.233	Feb 23
US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?	BUY	75.0¢	5.333	Feb 22
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	SELL	96.3¢	4.14	Feb 20
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	BUY	91.0¢	2.418	Feb 20
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?	BUY	96.4¢	6.224	Feb 19
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	BUY	96.4¢	4.149	Feb 17
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	BUY	74.0¢	6.486	Feb 17
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?	BUY	86.0¢	5.814	Feb 16
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	SELL	90.0¢	3.67	Feb 14
Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?	SELL	93.0¢	2.79	Feb 14
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	BUY	90.0¢	3.678	Feb 7
Nexus FDV above $50M one day after launch?	SELL	85.0¢	6.7	Feb 7

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%

Win Consistency22.2%

Profit Factor0.00

Drawdown Resilience0.00

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00

Weekly Sharpe est.0.00

Trading Activity23 trades · 19 active days

P&L Calendar

$535d profit14d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue