arcsin

0x72d46f...af5110

Smart Score

Win Rate

95.0%

Total P&L

+$3.7K

Trade Count

285

Sharpe Ratio

0.10

Sortino Ratio

1.43

Max Drawdown

9142.4%

ROI

3.4%

Profit Factor

63.85

Kelly Fraction

0.935

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

038.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on February 28?	BUY	99.0¢	2,750	Feb 28
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on February 25?	BUY	99.0¢	100	Feb 25
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on February 25?	BUY	99.0¢	3.86	Feb 25
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on February 25?	BUY	99.0¢	105	Feb 25
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on February 25?	BUY	99.0¢	10	Feb 25
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on February 25?	BUY	99.0¢	10	Feb 25
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on February 25?	BUY	99.0¢	1.34	Feb 25
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on February 25?	BUY	99.0¢	100	Feb 25
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on February 25?	BUY	99.0¢	200	Feb 25
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on February 23?	BUY	99.0¢	100	Feb 23
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on February 23?	BUY	99.0¢	100	Feb 23
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on February 17?	BUY	99.0¢	2,700	Feb 17
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on February 16?	BUY	99.0¢	35	Feb 16
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on February 16?	BUY	99.0¢	1.14	Feb 16
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on February 16?	BUY	99.0¢	500	Feb 16
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on February 16?	BUY	99.0¢	200	Feb 16
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on February 16?	BUY	99.0¢	100	Feb 16
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on February 16?	BUY	99.0¢	3.71	Feb 16
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on February 16?	BUY	99.0¢	4.65	Feb 16
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on February 16?	BUY	99.0¢	13.34	Feb 16

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing38.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.12

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)35.0%

Win Consistency21.0%

Profit Factor1.00

Drawdown Resilience0.81

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.81

Weekly Sharpe est.0.62

Trading Activity285 trades · 85 active days

P&L Calendar

$34,90644d profit41d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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